Independence
It has no ties to, and receives no funding from, any political party, media outlet or polling firm. It does not commission polls: it works with public data and its own model and data.
Principles
- Probabilities, not prophecies. Always with intervals and scenarios.
- Neutrality. Results are described; parties are not judged.
- Transparency. Explained methodology, cited sources and downloadable outputs.
- Legality. No new estimates during the 24–28 November blackout.
Corrections
If you find an error, write to us. Corrections are noted with their date on the affected page.